Mike's one of the best, so his points are worth considering even though I see things differently. Mike writes:

"The actual details of Verizon’s service are decidedly mundane. 

1. Verizon is still going to have to do a truck roll.

2. Verizon isn’t providing 1 Gbps speeds.

3. Verizon is going to trash all this equipment next year anyway.

The truck roll  issue:

In some of its early discussions about its fixed 5G plans, Verizon executives hinted that the company was working on technology that would allow customers to install their own 5G 28 GHz receivers" Mike is right that the "white glove" service Verizon is providing at the beginning will be expensive. But I don't see any reason they won't find a more efficient method as volume builds next year, Hans Vestberg suggested that a day later at Goldman.

300 megabits versus a true gigabit

At the beginning of this year, Verizon CEO Lowell McAdam clearly said that “we’re very comfortable with being able to deliver a Gigabit of service to everyone that we’re providing service to.”

I was also surprised that Verizon is talking 300 megabits rather than the gigabit they will be delivering to many. Vestberg at Goldman noted that in rural areas, most customers will be served with lower speeds. No one receiving a gigabit is likely to complain about Verizon over-delivering. 

The pre-standard equipment

This is the big one, in my mind. In its announcement, Verizon specifically said that customers who sign up for its fixed 5G service now are going to have to scrap all their equipment at some point in the future when Verizon’s suppliers begin producing 3GPP 5G NR gear.

My take again differs, Samsung and Ericsson are committed to upgrading the radios with software. The backhaul, antennas, and most other elements will continue to work. Even if Verizon had to mail out a new gateway, that's a small cost in a $29 billion project.

dave ask

Newsfeed

Vivo is selling new the iQOO 5G premium quality phone for US$536.

Lei Jun Xiaomi "5G to have explosive growth starting from Q2 2020"5G to have explosive growth starting from Q2 2020" I say sooner

Verizon CEO Ronan Dunne: >1/2 VZ 5G "will approximate to a good 4G service" Midband in "low hundreds" Mbps

CFO John Stephens says AT&T is going to cut capex soon.

Bharti in India has lost 45M customers who did not want to pay the minimum USS2/month. It's shutting down 3G to free some spectrum for 4G. It is cutting capex, dangerous when the 12 gigabytes/month of use continues to rise.

Huawei in 16 days sold 1,000,000 5G Mate 20s.  

China has over 50,000 upgraded base stations and may have more than 200,000 by yearend 2019. The growth is astonishing and about to accelerate. China will have more 5G than North America and Europe combined for several years.

5G phone prices are down to $580 in China from Oppo. Headed under $300 in 2020 and driving demand.

No one believed me when I wrote in May, 90% of Huawei U.S. purchases can be rapidly replaced and that Huawei would survive and thrive. Financial results are in, with 23% growth and increased phone sales. It is spending $17B on research in 2019, up > 10%. 

5G phones spotted from Sharp and Sony

NTT DOCOMO will begin "pre-commercial service Sept 20 with over 100 live bases. Officially, the commercial start is 2020.

 More newsfeed

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Welcome  1,800,000 Koreans bought 5G in the first four months. The demand is there, and most of the technology works. Meanwhile, the hype is unreal. Time for reporting closer to the truth.

The estimates you hear about 5G costs are wildly exaggerated. Verizon is building the most advanced wireless network while reducing capex. Deutsche Telekom and Orange/France Telecom also confirm they won't raise capex.

Massive MIMO in either 4G or "5G" can increase capacity 3X to 7X, including putting 2.3 GHz to 4.2 GHz to use. Carrier Aggregation, 256 QAM, and other tools double and triple that. Verizon sees cost/bit dropping 40% per year.

Cisco & others see traffic growth slowing to 30%/year or less.  I infer overcapacity almost everywhere.  

Believe it or not, 80+% of 5G (mid-band) for several years will be slower than good 4G, which is more developed.