AT&T mobile will be distinctly inferior to Verizon for years. The practical difference will likely be small, but AT&T is gambling people won't choose Verizon. While a handful of hotspots will go mmWave, AT&T's Andrew Fuetsch said mmWave will only be used in hotspots. Most of the "5G" network will be low and mid-band.

      Over strong objections of their technical staff, AT&T has decided not to build millimeter wave 5G widely. Instead, they will use lower spectrum bands with 70% to 90% less capacity. 

      Almost certainly, the United States will now have only one high-performance 5G network; almost everything else will be 4G LTE with a software tweak and a massive publicity campaign. Every engineer building networks knew this was hogwash. MWC in Barcelona was dominated by emperors without clothes. See.

     What seemed like silly semantics and a cheap pr campaign is now proving to have real-world consequences.

AT&T has decided customers will not understand the difference between their 4G-style network and Verizon's true gigabit mmWave. If AT&T was not able to call their relatively slow network "5G," they almost definitely would have built mmWave. 

    The U.S. government is one of the only non-corporate members of the 3GPP standards group. We should have been screaming holy hell early this year when 3GPP decided to call almost all the 4G set to be deployed 5G.

     AT&T had been a pioneer in 5G research when 5G meant mmWave capable of going to 20 gigabits. They offered $2B for the Straight Path 28 GHz spectrum but were outbid by Verizon. Until now, AT&T told us they would build widely in the 39 GHz spectrum they own.

     The cutback by AT&T demonstrates that Ajit Pai also made a severe error allowing Verizon to purchase 800 MHz of Straight Path spectrum. 5G mmWave is designed to work well in 400 MHz and Verizon would have been willing to let the second 400 MHz go to someone else, probably AT&T. 

   Today's 5G gear is designed for 28 GHz; the European 26 GHz is not supported by the new Qualcomm modem, although that will probably be remedied soon. No phone is likely to support AT&T's 39 GHz unless specially ordered.

    The soon to be auctioned 24 GHz is also unsupported. That means it is unlikely to be used for years. Pai will declare it a great victory, but the government would collect ?billions more if the auction were delayed.

     Fortunately, 4G and 4G-like networks will provide enough 

dave ask

@davescomm

Rethinking Jan 27: Coronavirus could invalidate all projections. I reported on AIDS for 2 years. This could be worse because it spreads in air. Let us hope and pray.

Details on all 5G phones, as prices drop to $285 ** All actual 5G networks worldwide ** Facebook ordered to repost Italian fascist page. ** Apple China sales down 35%** Qorvo sees 300M 5G 2020 & 750M 2023 mmWave <10%

** Bharti demands India Gov more than double prices and enforce cartel. Sunil Mittal "Situation is dire. It is a matter of survival for everyone." ** Wi-Fi 6 meets ITU 5G criteria @stephenjcrowley ** Samsung $8B for Chinese memory plants ** Morgan paying billions for Altice fiber

Dec 10 Sprint bringing $300-500 5G phones to US 2020. Nokia, Lenovo, HMD ** H., Apple, and AMD doing 5 nm test runs on TSMC's 5 nm. Early results are 15-30% better than 7 nm ** AT&T low-band 5G built to >65% US. Speeds slower than 4G at launch. ** 

Verizon CEO Ronan Dunne: >1/2 VZ 5G "will approximate to a good 4G service" Midband in "low hundreds" Mbps ** CFO John Stephens says AT&T is going to cut capex soon. ** Huawei in 16 days sold 1,000,000 5G Mate 20s.  

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Welcome  Asia is installing hundreds of thousands of 5G radios and adding 5G subs by the tens of millions. The west is far behind. 200,000,000 in 2020

The demand is there, and most of the technology works. Meanwhile, the hype is unreal. Time for reporting closer to the truth.

I'm Dave Burstein, Editor. I've been reporting telecom since 1999. I love to hear from readers and say thank you when you find an error. daveb@dslprime.com

Also see

analysisbranch.com,

fastnet.news

huaweireport.com