statista countries with the most facebook users 2018 230~500M Africans, Indonesians, and Indians are regular Internet users without a landline. Brazil, Indonesia, and Mexico add ~200M more. In total, something like 1B people were wireless-only at the end of Q3 2017. I'm comparing the number of Facebook users (over 250M in India) with the number of landlines (< 20M in India) for a rough guess at how many are wireless only. In the developed world, 70-90% of all homes have a landline connection, implying fewer than 100M are wireless only.

About 65% of Internet users are now in the Global South. The gap is increasing by about 50M/year.

With many wireless users on 4G LTE at more than 10 megabits down, wireless needs to be considered to understand the primary connections to the Internet today. In particular, the Global North dominates ICANN, 3GPP (until recently,) and the Internet Society. The U.S. under Trump continues to demand these groups make the rules for the net.

The 65% of the world in the Global South think that's reprehensible, particularly as the economic terms of "Internet Governance" are set by the richer countries. In 2012, I predicted that systems virtually excluding the majority of Internet users would prove unstable; we've seen the development of the World Internet Conference & the BRICS events become more important. Russia is setting up their own Internet root.  

Wired connections are shared among the household. I'm therefore adjusting from ~1B people using wireless only to ~500M  "connections." The U.S. in January 2018 had 105M landline net connections and 240M Facebook users. 72% of Americans on the Internet use Facebook. The figure is probably lower where English is not the primary language. That's useful for an approximation, understanding there is at least a 10% margin of uncertainty.

I have from numbers from Point-Topic on the number of landlines and reasonable estimates from GSMA on the wireless phone side side. I could have refined these figures with a little more work, as an analyst report would. But the primary sources on the wireless side have a large  margin of error. The definition of "Regular Internet User" is unclear. If someone signs on to Facebook and reads the news every day, but uses a 2G phone, should she be included? There are over 100M 2G mobiles on Facebook.

Better data welcome. (Updated April 7 to include > 100M Indonesians.)

Here are the Facebook figures via Statista and Hootsuite.

statista countries with the most facebook users 2018 650

dave ask

Newsfeed

Vivo is selling new the iQOO 5G premium quality phone for US$536.

Lei Jun Xiaomi "5G to have explosive growth starting from Q2 2020"5G to have explosive growth starting from Q2 2020" I say sooner

Verizon CEO Ronan Dunne: >1/2 VZ 5G "will approximate to a good 4G service" Midband in "low hundreds" Mbps

CFO John Stephens says AT&T is going to cut capex soon.

Bharti in India has lost 45M customers who did not want to pay the minimum USS2/month. It's shutting down 3G to free some spectrum for 4G. It is cutting capex, dangerous when the 12 gigabytes/month of use continues to rise.

Huawei in 16 days sold 1,000,000 5G Mate 20s.  

China has over 50,000 upgraded base stations and may have more than 200,000 by yearend 2019. The growth is astonishing and about to accelerate. China will have more 5G than North America and Europe combined for several years.

5G phone prices are down to $580 in China from Oppo. Headed under $300 in 2020 and driving demand.

No one believed me when I wrote in May, 90% of Huawei U.S. purchases can be rapidly replaced and that Huawei would survive and thrive. Financial results are in, with 23% growth and increased phone sales. It is spending $17B on research in 2019, up > 10%. 

5G phones spotted from Sharp and Sony

NTT DOCOMO will begin "pre-commercial service Sept 20 with over 100 live bases. Officially, the commercial start is 2020.

 More newsfeed

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Welcome  1,800,000 Koreans bought 5G in the first four months. The demand is there, and most of the technology works. Meanwhile, the hype is unreal. Time for reporting closer to the truth.

The estimates you hear about 5G costs are wildly exaggerated. Verizon is building the most advanced wireless network while reducing capex. Deutsche Telekom and Orange/France Telecom also confirm they won't raise capex.

Massive MIMO in either 4G or "5G" can increase capacity 3X to 7X, including putting 2.3 GHz to 4.2 GHz to use. Carrier Aggregation, 256 QAM, and other tools double and triple that. Verizon sees cost/bit dropping 40% per year.

Cisco & others see traffic growth slowing to 30%/year or less.  I infer overcapacity almost everywhere.  

Believe it or not, 80+% of 5G (mid-band) for several years will be slower than good 4G, which is more developed.